Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000012 0.000014 0.000016
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014 0.000016 0.000020
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025
2025-01-05 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000029
2025-01-12 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000035
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000025 0.000041
2025-01-26 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000028 0.000048
2025-02-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000019 0.000033 0.000060
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000036 0.000071
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000040 0.000085
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000044 0.000100
2025-03-02 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000023 0.000047 0.000113
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000024 0.000051 0.000132
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000025 0.000057 0.000158
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000026 0.000063 0.000189
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000026 0.000066 0.000211
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000027 0.000071 0.000242
2025-04-13 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000027 0.000075 0.000275
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000028 0.000082 0.000325
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000031 0.000095 0.000411
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000032 0.000103 0.000483
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000012 0.000034 0.000114 0.000582
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000012 0.000035 0.000124 0.000688